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Archive for May, 2009

諸家好友

大家好,

中印緬錫文經協會為家父創立,當時中印邦交,因政治及原則而斷,但現實上,
民間的交流,在大環境下必須保持,多年來的努力,完成了今日的”次”官方
通道,本會的苦勞為印方人士看重,所得實質信任,是最大安慰.

時代在變,本會的角色也自然必須跟着調整,八年前,本會因政治立場,只有
選擇淡出所有活動.

現在輪替後,客觀的體認,21世紀的臺北,有必要重新綜觀全局,有必要,以新
的全球政治智慧來面對這一個新的”資源爭奪世紀”,大勢所趨,在眾亞洲
國家興起中,急需要民間靈活對外策略的運用,本會的使命也因此更見重要.

今日中國,實質上己成為與美國亙助亙補的雙國際強權,受益傳統中國人的
存錢美德,因此大量現金在握,如能善用及配合美國的先天爆炸性創意活力,
已可確定將為幫助世界各國經濟脫囷的主力.

當前的陸資和陸客己全面帶動臺灣全方住市場信心,但在長遠的經濟規劃上,
尚有待各方才俊之士的努力,可見的就是如何善用臺方為當最佳農業發展的
專家地位,配合全球注目的2030糧食危機.

大陸東北人士,早在一年半前透過關係了解在加拿大合作農業生產的建議,
近年更可由國際主流媒體報導中看到他們在非洲的農產努力.

最近更看到重慶的US $6-8 BILLIONS的海外500萬畝的農地雄心,更記得,
緬甸過去就是亞洲的傳統糧倉,臺灣的農業成就又為對岸推崇,這正是民間
機構盡心的時候.

鍚蘭是佛教的重要國家,禮佛外,更是歐洲宗教哲學重視的重地,這在今天回
教與基督教作世紀文化衝突的時刻,實有可配合中華文化的新活力來淡化
危機,對有心人來說,更值得努力.

印度更不用說了,金磚四國的時代地位,己早造成CHINDIA的新勢力,最新選
舉的結果,更反映了國家的穩定性,臺灣-中國-印度的新三角習題,更是時代性
的挑戰.

印度NANO車的生產線是否策略性的善用臺方的現有場地,廣大的手機市場
更如山寨產品般的需要臺灣的强項零件,而臺灣也必須重視印方太陽手機的
發展,因為US $20的生產成本市價定在US $10就反映了交流的重要性.

協會將恢復所有經濟文化全面活動,但首要就是會員的吸收,各位的参予極為
重要,因此為文敬請參加,更希望能帶進更多熱心人士.

最後極須各位的建言,目前希望了解各位心目中的合理會費與方式,敬請指教,
如更能帶入企業捐款,那更是本會之幸.
陶士興      上
TOM TAO

SHADOW TAIPEI

That police in south city was a terror on TV.
With him, gang is no worse.
He was threatening TV people with camera on.
This, if not deal with, will be the worst for Taiwan.

And 6/4 is coming fast.
All are expecting President Ma to be consistent with his principle.
And his not seeing 王丹 made the news.
But as the President, Straight relation put him on the spot.

However, this also can be a great opportunity.
A new reality can be the moment.
Passion and rationality with a big heart will be the difference.
It may turn out to be a historical one.

Shadow stays forever.
It is leader’s ability to show us the future.
Choice he makes will determine his legacy and time.
He can be the leader with wisdom and principles.

CURSE BURMA

Suu Kyi is on trail.
And there is no voice for her in Taipei.
The world is less interested.

Moral choice has to face reality.
Nothing changes no matter what we say.
And North Korea situation is not helping.

After all, Burma is the last virgin territory in Asia.
The resources plenty is in everyone’s mind.
Reality says we have to deal with power there now.

Then we are limited in being fair.
There is nothing to gain.
Businessman chooses the development and profit.

If you are not in now, you are out for good.
That is the curse in Burma.
Justice and fair play take day off.

CONFIDENT TAIPEI

It is so obvious.
Locals are all big spenders now.
Like I said before, Taipei always had money but was going conservative.
Hold on tight to the cash was the right mentality.

But now report states it loud and clear.
China money is not in.
And foreign investment money is about to jump in.
The market high now has to be the doing by local money.

Market was 4,000 less and now near 7,000.
Foreign investment money is leaving Korea and come over.
China money will start now and continue into September.
And that US $10 billions credit announcement by China is lighting up all eyes.

“Buy Taiwan” is now the official China government policy.
The land mark building across from Taipei Train Station is targeted by China buyer.
Business hotels are the talk of town.
All are prepared for the soon coming China individual tour visitors.

People in Taiwan then will see the full benefit in tourism.
Now it is limited.
It doesn’t show much in the hand of group tour.
But soon all will change.

The ruling party chairman is visiting China now.
A near NT $200 billions join-venture is in place.
More are on the way.
This is why foreign investment going up $70 billions this month.

光頭與泳帽

臺北的泳池是規定要載泳帽的,規定的原始精神,
是因為頭髮會脫落,那會造成泳池的排水系統阻塞,
但大多數國家,現用的體系己沒有這個困擾,
但臺北不是,所以仍必須載帽.

今天有一位泳者,他是光頭,有人開玩笑的問,
他是否須要載泳帽?

這還真是一個好問题,從立法規定的精神來說,
他没有必要,但現實的生活中,他不載就是違法,
結果是形式完全超越立法精神,更有惡法亦法的強力支持,
公平正義的精神反而失聲,這是現世的一大悲哀.

合法的政府常備有便宜行事的特別行政權,
精神上的正義,有時就必須以非常手段來確保公道,
這是一個有所為及有所不為的選擇,
只有在有决心面對所有法律後續的責任時,
這類的特別狀况行政權,還是值得尊重的.

NCC剛定案處理旺旺集團掌握中時媒體的决議,
正赤裸裸的反映了這種精神法令的二難選擇實況,
各方面的強烈的反應,大多基於法律面的無據考量.

但在這個决定前,也曾有清流為文,重點是,媒體為
社會重量級公器,是否應完全由財團支配而無需
任何社會正義保障的制衡.

到底,媒體的精神,必須是反映社會道德的良心,更是
公信的保護神.

東森集團的”金錢最大”教訓,就是最大反諷,旺旺集團
目前是沒有任何紀錄來平衡社會的疑慮.

公平來說,我們必須比較”精神”的實質面及”形式”的條例面,
這才是大家應該認真考量的指摽 .

WORLD VIEW, TAIPEI

California is a Golden State no more.
The creative power and resourcefulness didn’t help.
It is sad to think it was considered as top 7th country in the world.
But 30 years ago on tax determined the downfall.
Today, past glory is only a memory and history.
If Washington not to watch out, the same fate will come.

Thinking tank in England predicts global resource war in 2030.
That will be in energy, food and water.
Canada is blessed and can get more in the Arctic borders.
There is 90 billion barrels of oil there by US agency account.
And water resource is the top in the world.
Let’s hope others’ envy will not be a curse for Canada.

China is out its way to collect energy world wide.
We can see that from West’s anger in China’s Africa domination.
And now a major city announces its food ambition.
That will be a US $6-8 billions investment in oversea 5 million acres farm land.
We have to remember.
Burma used to be the best in Asia.

Taiwan has been the best in agricultural.
And China investment in Burma is a choice.
Taiwan businessman is strong in Cambodia.
And there Arab group is investing in farm land.
Taiwan’s expertise is golden here.
Opportunity is for the one to arrange a total package fast.

Taipei announces failure to set up offices in Lao, Cambodia and Burma.   
China no doubt is the reason.
But did they use the right connection?
And did they push the button ahead of better preparation?
Also, betting of World University Games failed.
Official publicly acknowledged the lack of preparation the main reason.

It is clear private sector can rise to the occasion.
And there is no time to lose.
Power businessman team with best university professor will help the Arab in Cambodia.
Example will set for China investment in Burma.
And the region’s power family younger generation will be in pact.
They all will be in London next month.

India’s role is major too.
Goldilocks Economy is catching attention.
And the NANO car is second to none.
The “assembly process” is unique.
Production line can be anywhere if TATA wishes so.
Can Taiwan’s facility be a convenience for China market?

TAIPEI TOMORROW

There is no better place.
Taipei is back.
And opportunities are plenty if with vision.

The fearful political violence is gone.
And new top house is marketed at NT $400 millions.
The best in the past was NT $130 millions.

Top buyers are the riches left Taiwan and big in China.
They are bringing back China riches too.
The life style in Taipei is considered as trendy leisure.

It is called the best in Chinese cities.
This brings new world class hotels too.
They are a sight to see even at this stage.

And the city’s transportation system is reaching all near-by towns.
Old buildings are coming down for re-built.
The ‘per unit” price is up three folds.

Sites inside any 200 meters of MRT station range are good.
This trend eventually will go to surrounding towns in 2 to 3 years.
The price will double.

Reason is simple.
Visitors alone from China will be 2 to 3 millions per year by government prediction.
And regulation will loose up with individual traveling.

Many then will look for weekend houses or apartments in Taipei.
Taipei-Shanghai flight takes only 85 minutes.
That is good for one day round trip business traveling.

HK was benefited by China visitors jump from $500 billions to 2 trillions in market value.
Taipei can be 10 times better in size and capacity.
Many in Taiwan are not aware of this coming yet.

And many are still use political mentality to blind self.
By now we see 300,000 visitors already.
They are not the top customers.

Some are making bad impression to locals.
That is the down side of group cheap tours.
But the current China purchasing group in Taiwan is buying up goods in US $170 millions.

And May 31 will have another one here to buy US $1 billion.
June 1 will have one to buy US $2 to 5 billions.
June 10 and 12 will have two more.

And Taiwan universities and colleges are targeting the China’s 4.5 million students.
They are not making it there.
Right policy change will make them another big spending power here.

Sadly there is no Canadian culture presentation.
That is opportunity in waiting.
Real Canadian styled eating and hotel establishment ought to be here soon.

Investments are rushing in.
All wish to use Taiwan’s creative capability.
That will be spring board to China domestic market.

Even Taiwan families are sending young kids to Beijing to study now.
In the past, they mainly went to US.
Now those families want next generation best connected in China.

“Man power” has new definition in Taipei.
Talent is the better definition.
They cover with intelligence, flexibility and soft touch.

And people here are eying the potential India mobile users market.
There is India low cost car done in assembly kid.
This will make Taiwan a potential production site.

With India new election result, new faces in young generation surface.
Pak young leader is studying at London.
So are China and other Asia leaders’ son.

A pact will be in place.
And an event will follow.
You tell me.
Where the action is? 

MOMENT TAIPEI

New administration is one year old.
Taiwan today officially is back into world organization WHA.
And local investors are re-living the old reputation in ROC.
That is “republic of casino” for their passion.

This passion now is the backbone of current market confidence.
That is why the international money follows and rushing in.
Market is up 10 days in a row.
The combination effort is of returning old Taiwan money, multinational and China.

Foreign exchange was testing the water.
Confidence pushed money next into stock market.
Now the local regulation change stirs large China money in real estate.
You see that in high priced penthouse sales.

Asia age is here to stay.
Never before, but British Minister openly states the age of China and USA dominance.
And India election mandates the government policy.
India-based companies get further boost in US trading.

China market will demand 400 millions LCD screen products in 2 years.
This is huge.
Companies rush to invest now.
And Taiwan coffee house is heading Shanghai for Expo.

China sent 10,000 Amway tourists to Taiwan.
Spending huge but Taiwan didn’t take full advantage and was less prepared.
Now senior tour is coming.
And a province is committing with 20,000 tourists this year.

China government is sending teams over for $100 billion dollars buying trips.
And China supports Taiwan to host an APEC forum.
Small towns China get government “new for old” exchanges in family appliances helped Taiwan.
Now the policy enlarging to cities will fire up Taiwan economy. 

Taipei this weekend will have old movie district “all for a dollar” “mad street” activities.
That is in food, massage, sporting goods and movie tickets.
Air condition buyers will get full cash rebate if losing job.
And that is right after the “computer war” between big houses last month.

Tour trade is going to be busy this weekend too.
$160,000 trip is only $59,900 now.
Swine Flu is killing the market but creating best price for public.
This 4 days event will pack the house.

World Game will be in Kaoshiung this July.
And Taipei will host Deaf Olympics in September.
Now deputy Mayor of Taipei is heading out to bit for world University Games.
Edmonton is doing the same on behalf of Canada.

I am so proud to learn.
Many in charge of those events had their starts with me.
And last night at dinner I was on spot to see quiet diplomacy.
That was arranging 200,000 pieces mouth masks to be delivered first flight this morning.

And from India representative I learned.
India Tata is ready to put new NANO car in assembly kid.
And production is far short of public demands.
I suggested Taiwan can help with ready assembly facilities.  

立場

看到僑委會副委員長面對温哥華的僑界人士時, 執政黨政府在求全心態下,
失去了七百萬選票的立場.

在”中華”文化與”台灣”文化對比上,”將軍”式的被強迫做一立場表態,
那不但屈服於八年來”扁式”全球”臺灣形象”全面”綠化”的延申,
軟弱不但不會爭取到對方的支持,更絕對不利己方的團結,反更強化了
對方得寸進尺的後續力道.

國號在勝選後因選票正名,那就是”中華民國”,文化也就自然是以”中華”
文化為首要選項,臺灣是中華文化多年來的固守發揚光大基地,其完整性,
延續性及開創性才是今天”創意時代”的中華文化最大驕傲.

“臺灣”文化是有”地利”與強烈”感情”因素,但”二奶”性的主客易位,真的就能
長久成為主流價值嗎?

馬政府如果委曲求全,更因而失去數十年來優秀中華文化在臺灣生根的
正統立場下,那才是本土化”中華”與”中國”取捨的最大敗筆.

十二年來的二党政治洗腦,無形中也成功的成就了中,美,日的文化共治,
也強化了社會的全面與多元化,但中華文化在臺灣的實體性不容忽略,
在二岸交流中,更具主體性,這一立場將是得人心及失人心的歷史地位
關鍵.

REVOLUTIONARY TAIPEI NO MORE

The weekend mass street demonstration said it all.
The organizer, the Opposition Party, declared 600,000 participated in Taipei alone.
But Mayor officially stated only 80,000.
And English local press printed 200,000.

That is precisely the state of Taipei.
Each managed to state from its own point of view.
And major Chinese press simply printed no numbers.
That means they know people, the readers, don’t really care.

The rally has stepped into illegal portion after last night.
They refuse to apply even city negotiated other applicant to give up the permit.
Through TV, viewers could see lot participated people went home by dark.
Kids for school and need to work Monday reflected real life.

Talk show call-in last night clearly mocked the political soft handling.
After all, the city hall spoke person was in the Red Tide movement.
He was in court for what he did on the street.
Now in power, he knows things both ways.

What obvious is.
Taipei is so diversified and much more complex.
With so many events going on, no one can stand out as one and only like before.
That includes China side Strait Forum with 8,000 people and 25 counties officials from Taiwan.

And it is rain season in Taiwan now.
Locally it is called Plum rain.
This will be week long but not a drop yesterday and over night.
Mood of peace is here to stay even with a tragic police car hitting two demonstrators.

Yes, it is irritating to see ex-President’s shadow behind the scene.
But Opposition leader didn’t let it in control.
At best, it was a decoration.
That reflects real toleration in Taipei.

But there is under current too.
Economically island is cash rich from all over due to the China development.
Yet there is no real sure sight of fundamental economic soundness.
The fear of inflation is voiced by some power economists now.

And Swine Flu is hitting Japan hard this weekend.
Beijing is showing signs of danger.
I am changing my plan for visiting there now.
And Taipei seems the safest spot at the moment.